Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of April 25, 2017. 10-year note: Currently net long 214.6k, up 255.9k. Ten-year Treasury yields did indeed test support-turned-resistance at 2.31 percent this week. In fact, they rose all the way to 2.35 … Continued
Breakouts galore! The three U.S. equity indices discussed here all broke out this week in one form or another. The Russell 2000 small cap index and the Nasdaq composite rallied to fresh new highs, even as the S&P 500 large … Continued
Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of April 18, 2017. 10-year note: Currently net short 41.3k, down 23.2k. After dropping last week out of a five-month, 2.62 percent-2.31 percent range, 10-year Treasury yields (2.24 percent) proceeded to drop to … Continued
On major U.S. equity indices, buyers stepped up to the plate just where they needed to. Can they sustain it? From peak to trough, after reaching an all-time high on March 1 (2400.98), the S&P 500 large cap index shed … Continued
Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of April 11, 2017. 10-year note: Currently net short 64.5k, up 8.8k. Ten-year Treasury yields (2.23 percent) are breaking down. Shortly after post-election backup in yields last November, the 10-year began to so … Continued
Wednesday witnessed several potentially important developments in the markets, but the message is not clear-cut. After straddling the 50-day moving average for nearly three weeks, the S&P 500 large cap index lost it yesterday, albeit not by much. This was … Continued
Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of April 4, 2017. 10-year note: Currently net short 55.8k, down 13.9k. Post-FOMC minutes Wednesday, the S&P 500 large cap index reversed hard, shedding 1.1 percent between 2 pm and 3:30 pm. This … Continued
Several asset classes are at crucial juncture. Wednesday, West Texas Intermediate crude rallied to $51.88 before closing at $51.15, up 0.2 percent (Chart 1). The session produced a long-legged doji, took out now-slightly-declining 50-day moving average intraday but closed the … Continued
Down 5.6 percent from intraday peak to trough in 19 sessions, and then up 4.1 percent from low to high in five. The Russell 2000 small cap index continues to play ping pong between range support and resistance. Last Friday, … Continued
Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of March 28, 2017. 10-year note: Currently net short 69.4k, down 30.9k. Fed officials are beginning to jawbone – again. Tuesday, Stanley Fischer, Fed vice-chair, said he forecasts two more hikes this year. … Continued