Bond market is trying to tell us something

posted in: Credit, Derivatives, Economy, Technicals | 0

As 2014 began, growth expectations were very high for the U.S. economy.  In fact, every year since the recession ended mid-2009, economists’ GDP forecasts have been on the optimistic side, only to be progressively cut back as the year progresses.  … Continued

Bond yield/earnings yield ratio lousy metric in present circumstances

posted in: Credit, Economy, Equities | 0

One valuation tool equity bulls consistently use to justify current stock valuations – as well as to argue for further multiple expansion – is by comparing bond yield to earnings yield.  There is a metric known as ‘bond equity earnings … Continued