Last Friday sent shivers down U.S. equity bulls’ spine. Sort of. The rout in tech stocks in particular was unsettling. After rising to a new all-time high of 5897.69, the Nasdaq 100 index lost 2.4 percent Friday. Intraday, it was … Continued
Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of June 6, 2017. 10-year note: Currently net long 212.1k, down 46.1k. The Fed is all set to hike next week. Futures are pricing in 99.6-percent odds of a 25-basis-point increase. This will … Continued
Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of May 30, 2017. 10-year note: Currently net long 258.2k, down 104.3k. “If the tension between the progress on employment and the lack of progress on inflation persists, it may lead me to … Continued
U.S. stocks have come a long way. February last year turned out to be a major low (black arrow in Charts 1/2/3/4), and after that the November 8 presidential election last year. Performance is not uniform, of course. Some are … Continued
Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of May 23, 2017. 10-year note: Currently net long 362.5k, up 122.5k. FOMC minutes for the May 2-3 meeting were released Wednesday. Post-statement, futures priced in 83 percent odds of a 25-basis-point hike … Continued
Wednesday’s rout in stocks is a reminder that when stretched too far a rubber band will snap. And when that happens, it will do so with plenty of energy. The S&P 500 large cap index has not had a one-percent … Continued
Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of May 9, 2017. 10-year note: Currently net long 229.1k, up 49.2k. Back into the nearly six-month range … or near range support, to be precise. Since the election last November, 10-year yields … Continued
If we just focus on tech stocks for a moment, one gets the impression that it is a very strong market. Right after the November election last year, tech stocks in general lagged. But they came into life as soon … Continued
Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of May 2, 2017. 10-year note: Currently net long 179.9k, down 34.8k. Pre-FOMC decision this week, futures were pricing in 63 percent odds of a 25-basis point hike in June and 60 percent … Continued
Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of April 25, 2017. 10-year note: Currently net long 214.6k, up 255.9k. Ten-year Treasury yields did indeed test support-turned-resistance at 2.31 percent this week. In fact, they rose all the way to 2.35 … Continued