CoT: Peek Into Future Through Futures

The following are futures positions of non-commercials as of June 7, 2016.  Change is week-over-week. 10-year note: The Bank of Korea on Thursday eased its benchmark interest rate by 25 basis points to a record low 1.25 percent.  The move … Continued

CoT: Peek Into Future Through Futures

The following are futures positions of non-commercials as of May 31, 2016.  Change is week-over-week. 10-year note: On June 14-15, the FOMC meets.  This is the year’s fourth meeting, and there will be four more left after this (July 26-27, … Continued

Woulda Coulda Shoulda – This Is What Needs To Happen For Sustained Rally In Stocks N/T

posted in: Derivatives, Equities, Technicals | 0

U.S. stocks had a very good week last week. The S&P 500 large cap index rallied 2.3 percent, Dow Industrials 2.1 percent, both Nasdaq 100 index and Russell 2000 small cap index 3.4 percent, among others. The rally comes in … Continued

CoT: Peek Into Future Through Futures

The following are futures positions of non-commercials as of May 24, 2016.  Change is week-over-week. 10-year note: Was that a yay or nay from Janet Yellen, Fed chair? In an interview at Harvard University on Friday, she said that an … Continued

Equity Bulls Better Off Distinguishing Between Near- And Medium-Term

posted in: Derivatives, Equities, Technicals | 0

U.S. equities had a powerful session on Tuesday, followed by another good session on Wednesday.  Volume could have been a little better on major U.S. indices but price spoke loud and clear. The Nasdaq 100 surged 2.1 percent on Tuesday, … Continued

Decent Odds Of Rally Near-Term So Long As S&P 500 Does Not Lose 2040

posted in: Credit, Economy, Equities, Technicals | 0

Equity bulls are putting down their foot, and have near-term momentum on their side so long as 2040 on the S&P 500 is not lost. Off the April 20th high through last Thursday’s intra-day low, the S&P 500 lost four … Continued

CoT: Peek Into Future Through Futures

The following are futures positions of non-commercials as of May 17, 2016.  Change is week-over-week. 10-year note: More jawboning this week! Last week, three regional bank presidents – Eric Rosengren (Boston), Loretta Mester (Cleveland), and Esther George (Kansas City) – … Continued

S&P 500 Index: 200-DMA Path Of Least Resistance?

A week ago last Friday, U.S. stocks opened lower reacting to less-than-expected rise in April’s non-farm payroll.  As the session progressed, bids showed up, as traders began to price in lesser odds of a rate hike in June. Turns out … Continued

CoT: Peek Into Future Through Futures

The following are futures positions of non-commercials as of May 10, 2016.  Change is week-over-week. 10-year note: Three FOMC voting members were on full jawboning mode on Thursday. Eric Rosengren, Boston Fed president, said markets are underestimating the likelihood of … Continued