CoT: Peek Into Future Through Futures

The following are futures positions of non-commercials as of August 16, 2016.  Change is week-over-week. 10-year note: One more prominent central banker this week seemed to throw his hands up in the air. John Williams, San Francisco Fed president, in … Continued

Divergences Abound But Can End With Vengeance

To say that stocks have diverged from a whole host of things ranging from earnings to Treasury bonds to crude oil to economic data is an understatement. This is not some new phenomenon … has been going on for a … Continued

CoT: Peek Into Future Through Futures

The following are futures positions of non-commercials as of August 9, 2016.  Change is week-over-week. 10-year note: Are we beginning to see a chink in central bankers’ armor? Major central banks responded to the financial crisis by aggressively deploying both … Continued

Nasdaq 100 In/Near Record Territory – Momentum Strong, Fundamentals Weak

posted in: Economy, Equities, Technicals | 0

U.S. tech stocks have come to life.  The Nasdaq composite (5213.14) is within spitting distance of its all-time high 5231.94 of July last year.  On a weekly closing basis, last week was a new record. The Nasdaq 100 index (4784.74) … Continued

Breakout On Major U.S. Indices Fizzles Or Sizzles To Blow-Off Top?

Breakouts galore in U.S. equity indices! The S&P 500 large cap index broke out to a new all-time high on July 11th, and has since made several more highs.  The breakout came after having gone sideways since essentially February 2015 … Continued

CoT: Peek Into Future Through Futures

The following are futures positions of non-commercials as of August 2, 2016.  Change is week-over-week. 10-year note: Mixed messages from two major central banks! On Friday last week, Haruhiko Kuroda, BoJ governor, decided not to live up to markets’ lofty … Continued

CoT: Peek Into Future Through Futures

The following are futures positions of non-commercials as of July 26, 2016.  Change is week-over-week. 10-year note: The Fed stopped short of signaling a rate hike near term.  That said, the statement also said “near-term risks to the economic outlook … Continued

FOMC Meeting To Throw Monkey Wrench Into Dollar/S&P 500 Rally N/T?

As of last Thursday (July 21st), as per S&P Dow Jones Indices, 123 of S&P 500 companies reported their 2Q16 results, 81 of them beat on an operating basis, 23 missed and 19 met consensus estimates.  On a reported basis, … Continued

CoT: Peek Into Future Through Futures

The following are futures positions of non-commercials as of July 19, 2016.  Change is week-over-week. 10-year note: If you repeat something often enough, it becomes the truth.  So the saying goes. Why bring this up?  There is a sudden uptick … Continued

Spot VIX Sub-13 For 3 Straight Sessions, Volatility Curve In Steep Contango

posted in: Derivatives, Equities, Technicals | 0

The last time spot VIX closed under 13 for three consecutive sessions was in early August last year.  In fact, VIX back then stayed sub-13 for four straight sessions ended August 3rd, and registered three more sub-13 readings by August … Continued