XLY Bulls Deny Completion Of Double Top – Comparatively, RCD Fares Poorly

posted in: Credit, Economy, Equities, Technicals | 0

XLY (SPDR consumer discretionary ETF) saves a potential breakdown – for now, and just in time. On June 5 this year, XLY (89.36) rallied to 92.14, before retreating.  Seven weeks later, on July 27, it rallied to 92.55, only to … Continued

Another Relief Rally Likely — Equally Likely Shorts Show Up At Resistance

posted in: Derivatives, Equities, Technicals | 0

From the all-time high of 2490.87 on August 8 through last Friday’s intraday low of 2420.69, the S&P 500 large cap index shed 2.8 percent.  Not much in a big scheme of things.  It is still up 8.3 percent this … Continued

CoT: Peek Into Future Through Futures – How Hedge Funds Are Positioned

Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of Aug 15, 2017. 10-year note: Currently net long 200.6k, down 29.2k. The annual Jackson Hole economic policy symposium – slated for August 24-26 this year – is known for its news-making potential. … Continued

US Dollar Index Chirping – Will Last if Non-Commercials Jump Onboard

posted in: Currency, Derivatives, Technicals | 0

The US dollar index (93.44) of late is showing some nice price action.  Will it be enough to lead non-commercials to begin to accumulate net longs in US dollar index futures? A sustained rally can reverberate through a whole host … Continued

Relief Rally Possible Near Term, As VIX Unwinds Overbought Condition

posted in: Economy, Equities, Technicals | 0

Last week’s mini sell-off in U.S. equities did not materialize all of a sudden.  This was building for a while. The Russell 2000 small-cap index in particular peaked as early as July 25. Investors/traders in general gravitate toward small-caps when … Continued

CoT: Peek Into Future Through Futures – How Hedge Funds Are Positioned

Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of Aug 8, 2017. 10-year note: Currently net long 229.8k, up 19k. In the past several months, several Fed officials, including Chair Janet Yellen, have expressed concern over persistently rising stock-market valuations. Using … Continued

Amidst Elevated ’18 Estimates, Wide Gap Between GAAP And Non-GAAP

posted in: Economy, Equities | 0

As of last Thursday, a little over four-fifths of S&P 500 companies reported 2Q17 results.  Of the 422 companies, 70.1 percent beat on operating earnings, 20.6 percent missed and 9.2 percent met, as per S&P Dow Jones Indices. In the … Continued