U.S. corporates refuse to get tempted by consumer-spending signal

posted in: Credit, Economy | 0

Non-residential fixed investment contributed 0.68 percent to the four-percent growth in U.S. gross domestic product in the second quarter.  A much larger 1.69 percent came from personal consumption expenditures.  Back in 1Q08, non-residential fixed investment peaked at $1.99tn, preceded by … Continued

Financials rally even as 10-2 spread narrows throughout 2014

posted in: Credit, Economy, Equities, Technicals | 0

Depending on how mature an economic cycle is, different sectors, and industries within them, act differently.  Some lead, some lag, yet others are coincident.  Investors gravitate toward sectors such as technology and consumer discretionary when they are more optimistic and … Continued

Divergences abound, small-caps included

Small-cap shares are lagging.  This is no news.  Small-caps have been a topic of discussion on this blog several times before.  They have lagged their large-cap brethren, the S&P 500 Index, since early March.  That was when money started to … Continued

ZIRP-induced interest-rate dynamics between income and payment

posted in: Credit, Currency, Economy | 0

There is probably no other price as important as the price of money – that is, interest rates.  They are what grease the wheels of an economy.  Simplistically, when rates are high, people are incentivized to save more.  When they … Continued

If one were to believe NFIB survey, faster earnings growth awaits U.S. employees

posted in: Credit, Economy, Equities | 0

Heard yesterday on Bloomberg Radio that U.S. consumption of boats and RVs is through the roof; RV sales are back to pre-Great Recession days, even as sales of boats are below that watermark but remain very healthy.  These items tend … Continued

“Stability breeds instability”

posted in: Credit, Derivatives, Economy, Equities | 0

Short interest continues to inch up.  By June-end, Nasdaq’s went up 0.6 percent period-over-period to 8.9bn – highest since end-September 2008 – and NYSE’s edged up 0.7 percent p/p to 14.6bn.  What is going on in the Naz in particular … Continued