QQQ Retreats After Testing Channel Resistance – Covered Put Possible Strategy

QQQ made an all-time high last week, but failed at channel resistance.  With the 2Q earnings season winding down, shorts may have better odds. QQQ (Invesco QQQ Trust) hit a new all-time high of $182.93 last Wednesday.  It has had … Continued

Long And Short Of Short Interest

posted in: Equities, Technicals | 0

Here is a brief review of period-over-period change in short interest in the July 2-13 period in nine S&P 500 sectors. XLB (SPDR materials ETF) After defending support at $57-plus late June, XLB ($58.72) subsequently rallied past both 50- and … Continued

Feeble Rectangle Breakout Last Week, SPY Gives Out Signs Of Fatigue

With a feeble rectangle breakout and rejection at the upper end of a rising channel last week, SPY is giving out signs of fatigue. Things look good.  Even great, some might argue.  This Friday, the first print of 2Q18 GDP … Continued

CoT: Peek Into Future Through Futures, How Hedge Funds Are Positioned

Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of July 17, 2018. 10-year note: Currently net short 469.1k, up 30k. Speaking to Congress in his Humphrey-Hawkins testimony this week, Jerome Powell, Fed chair, downplayed the risks posed by debt, saying nothing … Continued

Downtrend In Foreign Purchases Of US Equities Continues In May

posted in: Equities, Technicals | 0

On a 12-month rolling total basis, foreigners have been selling US stocks since January.  This did not change in May. Foreigners kept turning their back on US equities in May.  They sold $26.6 billion worth.  Monthly data tends to be … Continued

S&P 500 Breaks Out Of 2800, One More Hurdle Before Late-January High Is Tested

As 2Q earnings season got underway, the S&P 500 large cap index broke out of 2800.  If it were to rally toward its late-January all-time high, it has to first win over resistance around 2840. The S&P 500 (2809.55) faced … Continued

Early Signs Small-Caps Undergoing Subtle Change In Momentum

There are some early signs markets are undergoing a subtle change – particularly as relates to the dynamics between small- and large-caps. Right after Donald Trump was elected US president on November 8, 2016, small-caps became one of the go-to … Continued

CoT: Peek Into Future Through Futures, How Hedge Funds Are Positioned

Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of July 10, 2018. 10-year note: Currently net short 439.1k, down 60.9k. News this week that the Trump administration planned to impose tariffs on another $200 billion worth of imports from China resulted … Continued