Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of December 5, 2017. 10-year note: Currently net long 14.3k, down 109.6k. On Tuesday next week, a two-day FOMC meeting begins. This is the eighth – and last – meeting this year. A … Continued
Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of Nov 28, 2017. 10-year note: Currently net long 123.9k, up 12.9k. The U.S. economy is in its ninth year of recovery. Post-Great Recession, real GDP has grown at an average 2.2 percent. … Continued
Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of Nov 21, 2017. 10-year note: Currently net long 111.1k, up 36.2k. “In light of elevated asset valuations and low financial market volatility, several participants expressed concerns about a potential buildup of financial … Continued
Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of Nov 14, 2017. 10-year note: Currently net long 74.8k, up 24.8k. The dichotomy continues. At 1.73 percent, two-year T-yields, which reflect markets’ expectations for the Fed’s monetary policy, are the highest since … Continued
Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of Nov 7, 2017. 10-year note: Currently net long 50.1k, up 47.3k. It was yet another instance of 10-year Treasury yields wilting well before even getting close to 2.6 percent. Are they sending … Continued
Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of Oct 31, 2017. 10-year note: Currently net long 2.7k, down 150.9k. So Jerome Powell, current Fed governor, it is – the next chair. He is supposedly a dove – along the lines … Continued
Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of Oct 24, 2017. 10-year note: Currently net long 153.6k, up 47.3k. FOMC meets next week. The October 31-November 1 meeting is the seventh this year, with the eighth, and final, scheduled for … Continued
Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of Oct 17, 2017. 10-year note: Currently net long 106.3k, down 86.3k. If Politico is to be believed, President Trump is leaning toward Jerome Powell, Fed governor, for the next Federal Reserve chair. … Continued
Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of Oct 10, 2017. 10-year note: Currently net long 192.6k, down 39.6k. Market participants constantly rerate expectations. They have to. The related variables are dynamic and constantly changing themselves. The nimble ones are … Continued
Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of Oct 3, 2017. 10-year note: Currently net long 232.2k, down 24.5k. December looks like a lock. The odds in the futures market of a 25-basis-point hike in the 12-13th meeting that month … Continued